Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 7.938626 9.206014 10.570765 12.144891 13.905517 15.809148 18.017998
2025-12-14 6.210310 7.904042 9.863581 12.279763 15.159214 18.460700 22.510863
2025-12-21 5.114879 7.001173 9.307407 12.296944 16.028670 20.490262 26.180595
2025-12-28 4.474297 6.510689 9.117195 12.636150 17.193978 22.824790 30.224795
2026-01-04 3.942391 6.065586 8.897750 12.861420 18.162995 24.899427 33.980045
2026-01-11 3.455946 5.607182 8.590601 12.907587 18.853876 26.603600 37.289387
2026-01-18 2.933248 5.024281 8.040439 12.551980 18.947851 27.490855 39.529026
2026-01-25 2.520479 4.549048 7.586915 12.274798 19.100555 28.425438 41.826977
2026-02-01 2.162760 4.111875 7.140503 11.957596 19.153216 29.195429 43.897576
2026-02-08 1.864590 3.731890 6.739950 11.665736 19.205047 29.940604 45.932028
2026-02-15 1.594727 3.363747 6.319265 11.301544 19.112342 30.454692 47.635036
2026-02-22 1.445245 3.188867 6.193554 11.383521 19.683349 31.931722 50.739589
2026-03-01 1.301767 3.009418 6.047065 11.425021 20.198873 33.356297 53.834927
2026-03-08 1.187710 2.871396 5.958176 11.551236 20.847052 34.995353 57.290975
2026-03-15 1.070492 2.710894 5.812966 11.567526 21.312067 36.364399 60.378373
2026-03-22 1.007076 2.652805 5.847189 11.890241 22.282362 38.531019 64.715197
2026-03-29 0.935697 2.567996 5.822764 12.104604 23.077686 40.445903 68.717609
2026-04-05 0.851413 2.442821 5.709051 12.148540 23.583932 41.917231 72.074767
2026-04-12 0.735859 2.228151 5.398983 11.810155 23.418025 42.308238 73.762920
2026-04-19 0.641532 2.048473 5.140641 11.546458 23.360855 42.861175 75.706282
2026-04-26 0.555132 1.873538 4.873769 11.244755 23.215904 43.257002 77.400769
2026-05-03 0.481068 1.717156 4.629656 10.967221 23.094601 43.678663 79.136594
2026-05-10 0.411058 1.558060 4.361996 10.620995 22.826114 43.837286 80.441527